DVFC RAINFALL

The thirty year mean rainfall (1986-2015 inclusive) for the DVFC raingauge is 2,876 mm (± 475 mm standard deviation). The wettest months are January, October and December with 312 mm, 281 and 284 mm, respectively. April is typically the driest month with 178 mm on average and it also has by far the most variable rainfall total with a Coefficient of Variation (CV) of 66 % against a mean monthly CV of 44 %. The three-month period from February to April has the least predictable rainfall totals. The heaviest daily rainfalls recorded (i.e., those in excess of 100 mm/d) are 135.0 mm on 4 January 1990, 115.6 mm on 15 July 1991, 107.5 mm on 22 January 1994, 162.5 mm on 19 January 1996, 124.3 mm on 27 September 1998, 139.8 on the 31 January 2000, 109.4 mm on the 17 June 2000, 100.0 mm on the 26 December 2000, 140.6 mm on 8 January 2001, 119.5 mm on 14 December 2003, and 108 mm on 28 December 2003, 100.1 mm on 5 February 2006, 182.2 mm on 9 February 2006 and 104 mm on 15 October 2006, 124.6 mm on 25 January 2007, 115.9 mm on 14 January 2010, 112.0 mm on 5 February 2011, 147.9 mm on 23 March 2014 and 104.6 mm on 14 April 2014.

Annual reports below compare that year's data with an average from 1986 to the year being analysed:

Rainfall in 2015 totalled 2,199.6 mm, with only 76 % of normal rainfall, and the third driest on record due to the effect of the prevailing El Niño conditions. July had the least rainfall – 63.6 mm (31 % of the long-term average and driest July on record), while November had the greatest rainfall with 318.2 mm (102 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall was above average with a CV of 50 %, against the long-term average monthly CV is 45 %. There were a total of 204 raindays in 2015, against an average of 229 raindays.

Rainfall in 2014 totalled 2874.2 mm, with 99 % of normal rainfall, and the eighteenth wettest on record. February had the least rainfall – 124.4 mm (54 % of the long-term average), while August had the greatest rainfall with 324.0 mm (164 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall was well below average with a CV of 24 %, against the long-term average monthly CV is 44 %. There were a total of 202 raindays in 2014, the second fewest on record, against an average of 230 raindays.

Rainfall in 2013 totalled 3210.7 mm, with 111 % of normal rainfall, and the eigth wettest the on record. March had the least rainfall – 75.4 mm (only 35 % of the long-term average), while July had the greatest rainfall with 397.6 mm (186 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall was below average with a CV of 38 %, against the long-term average monthly CV is 45 %. There were a total of 233 raindays in 2012, the fourteenth highest on record, against an average of 231 raindays.

Rainfall in 2012 totalled 2888.0 mm, with 110 % of normal rainfall, and the ninth wettest the on record. Unusually June had the least rainfall – 121.2 mm (53 % of the long-term average), while March had the greatest rainfall with 443.7 mm (199 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall was below average with a CV of 32 %, against the long-term average monthly CV is 45 %. There were a total of 255 raindays in 2012, the fourth highest on record, against an average of 231 raindays.

Rainfall in 2011 totalled 2872.5 mm, with 135 % of normal rainfall (‘La Nina’ period), and the wettest in the 26 year record. August had the least rainfall – 210.4 mm (113 % of the long-term average), while April unusually had the greatest rainfall with 437.5 mm (262 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall was below average with a CV of 27 %, against the long-term average monthly CV is 45 %. There were a total of 293 raindays in 2010, the most on record, against an average of 230 raindays.

Rainfall in 2010 totalled 2247.9 mm, with 79 % of normal rainfall (‘El Nino’ period), and the twenty third driest in the 25 year record. February had the least rainfall – only 11.5 mm (5 % of the long-term average), while January had the greatest rainfall with 360.8 mm (115 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall was above average with a CV of 54 %, against the long-term average monthly CV is 45 %. There were a total of 229 raindays in 2010 against an average of 227 raindays.

Rainfall in 2009 totalled 3363.5 mm, with 118 % of normal rainfall, and the third wettest on record. August had the least rainfall (as in 2008) – only 133 mm (73 % of the long-term average), while October had the greatest rainfall with 426.4 mm (145 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall was below average with a CV of only 36 %, against the long-term average monthly CV is 46 %. There were a total of 243 raindays in 2009 against an average of 227 raindays.

Rainfall in 2008 totalled 3219.6 mm, with 113 % of normal rainfall, and the fifth wettest on record. Unusually, August had the least rainfall – only 149.8 mm (81 % of the long-term average), while May had the greatest rainfall with 370.3 mm (144 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall was well below average with a CV of only 23 %, against the long-term average monthly CV is 47 %. There were a total of 257 raindays in 2008, the greatest number on record, against an average of 226 raindays.

Rainfall in 2007 totalled 3021.7 mm, with 107 % of normal rainfall, and the seventh wettest on record. April had the least rainfall – only 95.2 mm (63 % of the long-term average), while November had the greatest rainfall with 434.5 mm (168 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall was just below average with a CV of 40 %, against the long-term average monthly CV is 48 %. There were a total of 238 raindays in 2007 against an average of 225 raindays.

Rainfall in 2006 totalled 3083.1 mm, with 110 % of normal rainfall, and the sixth wettest on record. April had the least rainfall at 149.1 mm (98 % of the long-term average), while October had the greatest rainfall with 366.9 mm (127 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall was above average with a CV of 72 %, against the long-term average monthly CV is 48 %. There were a total of 246 raindays in 2006 against an average of 224 raindays.

Rainfall in 2005 totalled 2274.9 mm, with 81 % of normal rainfall. April had the least rainfall - only 60.3 mm (39 % of the long-term average), while June had the greatest rainfall with 371.7 mm (161 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall was above average with a CV of 51 %, against the long-term average monthly CV is 46 %. There were a total of 218 raindays in 2005 against an average of 223 raindays.

Rainfall in 2004 totalled 3005.8 mm, with 106 % of normal rainfall. August had the least rainfall - only 61.7 mm (32 % of the long-term average and driest August on record), while January had the greatest rainfall with 338.3 mm (108 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall of 42 % CV was similar to the long-term average monthly CV is 46 %. There were a total of 224 raindays in 2004, the same as the long-term average.

Rainfall in 2003 totalled 3538.6 mm, the wettest year on record, with 126 % of normal rainfall. August had the least rainfall - only 93.2 mm (47 % of the long-term average), while September had the greatest rainfall with 436.4 mm (220 % of the long-term average). The magnitude of the seasonal variations in rainfall was above average with a CV of 53 %, against the long-term average monthly CV is 46 %. There were a total of 238 raindays in 2003 against an average of 223.6 raindays.

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Total

1986

674.9

187.1

261.9

68.5

74.4

149.1

222.8

77.2

191.1

247.9

255.3

176.4

2586.6

1987

269.5

238.8

135

49.7

74.1

209.3

127.9

297.3

158.8

213.3

346.8

257.7

2378.2

1988

354.1

217.4

427.5

129.8

247.8

242.7

265.2

71.3

124.1

183.2

255.7

418.7

2937.5

1989

290.1

276.7

242.2

201.8

259.1

348.5

336.9

206.9

113.9

463.1

325.3

140

3204.5

1990

357.8

122.6

170.3

37.4

602.7

258.1

109

180.9

330.6

115.3

178.1

266.2

2729.0

1991

235.3

251.1

24.4

133.6

310.4

131.7

131.5

248.6

115.7

371.1

466.2

189.1

2608.7

1992

95.9

86.4

66.3

28

188.4

319.9

218.2

164.7

296.7

428.1

257.5

216.3

2366.4

1993

242.2

268.1

261.3

138

111.2

138.7

188.3

220.3

153.3

301.2

199

278.4

2500.0

1994

231.5

171.6

416.6

312.4

172.9

306.3

140.9

216.6

156.7

185.7

303.2

362.2

2976.6

1995

236.5

210

261.4

96.8

439.1

190.2

135.5

329.7

338.2

537.2

220.6

290.4

3285.6

1996

590

423.8

42.9

245

273.8

162.2

153.1

165.6

179.9

390.1

137.7

224.6

2988.7

1997

194.6

365.8

87.8

101.5

117.1

52.5

247.9

157.3

88.6

213.2

150.6

143.9

1920.8

1998

147.1

123.4

86.6

11

173.7

156.8

217

214.8

313

211.4

206.2

264.4

2125.4

1999

233.4

322

309.5

433.3

300.7

316.2

224.6

243.3

175.7

246.3

212.4

341.6

3359.0

2000

489.4

277.1

262.8

340.2

243.7

357.5

191.2

239.9

178.2

281.8

266.5

371.9

3500.2

2001

334.7

241.6

376.8

217.6

266.0

52.9

247.4

181.9

191.9

252.0

318.6

293.2

2974.6

2002

382.4

104.2

62.2

112.5

288.3

340.3

78.3

244.5

411.5

234.2

284

186

2728.4

2003

254.3

165.3

310.8

192.8

228.5

243.0

297.0

93.2

436.4

381.9

234.2

701.2

3538.6

2004

338.3

153.6

169.6

149.3

371.7

256.1

277.6

61.7

315.4

199.2

295.6

417.7

3005.8

2005

168.2

59.3

236.5

60.3

312.5

371.7

185.6

92.4

217.4

261.3

175.1

134.6

2274.9

2006

324.6

798.4

180.0

149.1

189.3

178.8

152.2

186.6

164.6

366.9

152.1

240.5

3083.1

2007

348.6

117.5

131.6

95.2

283

348.43

279.7

217.6

222.6

276.8

434.5

266.2

3021.7

2008

330.1

278.9

295.2

263.4

370.3

215.3

196.2

149.8

290

281.8

232.6

316

3219.8

2009

352.8

338.6

232.3

228.2

360.2

230.9

319.6

133

144.7

426.4

413.3

183.5

3363.5

2010

360.8

11.5

94.5

104.3

221.5

192.4

172.1

252.8

151.8

147.7

188.0

350.2

2247.9

2011

388.0

290.5

433.7

437.5

428.4

254.1

221.7

210.4

263.8

256.3

380.9

307.2

3872.5

2012

194.8

215.3

443.7

341.3

220.0

121.2

247.7

250.7

285.9

347.4

223.0

297.2

2888.0

2013

368.6

228.0

75.4

311.2

230.3

314.2

397.6

310.4

109.1

223.2

259.1

383.6

3210.7

2014

253.9

124.4

272.6

223.3

218.9

241.3

201.6

324.0

185.4

209.3

301.8

317.7

2874.2

2015

318.5

113.0

106.1

112.0

211.1

206.5

63.6

165.5

173.3

165.8

383.6

180.9

2199.6

2016

188.4

138.6

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n.chappell@lancaster.ac.uk

Copyright © Yaysan Sabah Group and Dr. Nick Chappell, Lancaster University March 2016.
ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.