![]() |
BHS/RMetS 17/03/04 Meeting Report | ||||||
|
|
A joint British Hydrological Society and Royal Meteorological Society meeting Zoological Society of London Meeting Rooms, London 17 March 2004 It may seem surprising to the layman that the academic disciplines of hydrology and meteorology are not inextricably intermingled, but a lesson from a recent joint RMS and BHS discussion meeting is that they are still disconcertingly far apart. On 17th March, a joint RMS and BHS discussion meeting entitled: Water-Land-Atmosphere interactions was held at the Zoological Society of London Meeting Rooms. The first talk, by Dr. Nick Chappell, served as an introduction to how new research in meteorology can help further the research in hydrology and vice versa, setting the scene for the more specialist talks that followed, which were given by: Dr. David Grimes, Prof. Nigel Arnell, Dr. Peter Cox, Dr. Eleanor Blyth and Dr. Mike Bonell. What follows is a summary of each of these talks. The actual presentations can be accessed in full from the following web site: http://www.es.lancs.ac.uk/BHS_RMetS/. The meeting was opened and chaired by Chris Collier, Vice-President of the Royal Meteorological Society (University of Salford) and then introduced by Nick Chappell (University of Lancaster) with a talk entitled :- An introduction to coupling meteorology and hydrology. Nick identified four areas where new meteorological research is assisting hydrology. First, there is value in improving understanding of meteorological processes, notably rainfall. Clearly, the spatial and temporal distributions of rainfall are the key control for river discharges, so that flood prediction will be improved by more accurate estimates of rainfall. Secondly, it is important to have the latest understanding of climate dynamics (e.g., ENSO), as these changes can mask or magnify the effects of land-use changes on the hydrological system. Thirdly, there has been a vast improvement in the availability of meteorological data for the hydrologist to utilise. The quality of both satellite and radar data have improved, whilst using merged precipitation data sets, e.g., the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) data have improved the description of the global precipitation field. This new data has provided a useful tool for the evaluation of GCMs and for continental scale hydrological analysis (e.g., the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment - GEWEX). Finally, the frequent use of GCMs is forcing hydrologists to think about the scaling issues involved with describing processes in a lumped manner, at the scale of 1o or more, rather than at the scale of an experimental catchment. The hydrological research community is beginning to supply to meteorologists:
(ii) new large-scale data, notably global riverflow, though issues remain with regard to large-scale evaporation and subsurface water data.
ii) there is a lack of agreement between rainfall databases, iii) Land Surface Schemes are over-simplified, and consequently, incorrectly generate large quantities of overland flow, iv)there are currently no large-scale evaporation data sets, and v) scaling issues need further research The following presentations address some of these remaining issues.
David Grimes (University of Reading) gave the first specialist talk entitled
Application of satellite-based rainfall estimates to river flow forecasting in Africa.
This presentation discussed the use of satellite rainfall data to drive a river-flow forecasting model for the Bakoye catchment (Mali), where the rainfall is seasonally variable and dominated by the ITCZ, giving intense and often-localised convective rainfall. There were only ever 10 raingauges available within the 100, 000 km2 Bakoye catchment, therefore, localised events were frequently missed by the gauge network. Nigel Arnell (University of Southampton) presentation addressed Hydrological change from climate model simulations. Nigel stated that the predicted changes in the climate are highly uncertain, hence, their impacts on the hydrological system are even more uncertain. To assess how the hydrological cycle will respond to a changed climate regime, 'climate change scenarios' are generated in three main ways and then form the inputs to a hydrological model by:
ii) Using the climatic information generated by the climate model iii) Perturbing a measured rainfall time-series. After tea, the presentations then focused on how the latest land-surface information is informing meteorology. Peter Cox (Hadley Centre) began with a presentation on GCM land-surface schemes: Limitations and developments. This presentation was used to outline the state of the Hadley Centre Land Surface Scheme (LSS) as it was in 1997, how it has been improved and future developments. In GCMs, a LSS is used to generate the lower boundary conditions for the atmosphere, with the principal tasks being:
ii)Update the state variables that influence the energy and water fluxes, e.g. soil temperature, soil moisture content and canopy water content. MOSES 2 has now been developed, which has improved vegetation dynamics by closing the missing feedback loop, so that now changes in the atmosphere affect the vegetation interactively. In MOSES 1, the runoff component of the water flux was routed instantaneously to the oceans, which failed to capture the lag that is observed in the natural system. MOSES 2 has a rooting algorithm, to give much more realistic lag times. A tiling approach is used to account for sub-grid scale variations in land coverage in MOSES 2, with properties generated for nine surface types and applied globally. For each grid-cell, the energy and water balances are calculated separately for each land cover type within the cell and are then combined, weighting each land cover flux in proportion to its area occupied within the cell. A reduced form of TOPMODEL has been included within the new LSS to generate the proportion of the grid cells that are saturated. A new scheme, the Joint UK Land Surface Exchange Scheme (JULES), is currently being developed by the Hadley Centre and CEH Wallingford.
Eleanor Blyth (CEH Wallingford) presented a talk entitled
Land-surface evaporation: How observations inform the models.
Eleanor demonstrated that there has been a large increase in the
sophistication of evaporation data collection and the modelling of the
evaporative process. Both fields are moving at great pace but
there is a need for greater collaboration between workers within the two fields.
Currently, there is no global evaporation database, mainly due to the difficulty
of obtaining accurate estimates from remote locations, but the aim is to produce
one at the 1 km scale by generating a typical parameter set for each broad land-cover type.
ii)The spatial heterogeneity is accounted for by generating an evaporation estimate for each land cover type and then summing the totals in proportion to the area occupied by that land cover.
Mike Bonell (UNESCO) presentation on
Rainfall-runoff processes in the tropics: latest findings and links with synoptic climatology completed the collection of presentations. His presentation focused on a much smaller scale than the preceding presentations - the hillslope, the scale at which the hydrological mechanisms within GCM Land Surface Schemes were originally identified. It also focused on the tropics where climate changes have significant impacts on the global climate. Tropical rainfall-runoff processes were discussed with reference to a series of example studies. In the tropics, Mike stated that there are many more storm runoff pathways than in temperate latitudes because tropical soils are often deeper than temperate soils. The governing parameter controlling these pathways is the saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ksat), which is measured at the lab scale, however, it is highly heterogeneous, particularly in the vertical direction. At present, the measurements of Ksat provided by field hydrologists are at an inappropriate scale for hydrological modellers, let alone climate modellers.
Martin Fowell, University of Lancaster
|
Dr. Nick Chappell <N.Chappell@lancaster.ac.uk> 03/26/04 |